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   * How can it be? How can a dividend increase affect the price of a stock? Especially if it's only a cent or two. It's unbelievably simple: an investment that produces more income becomes more valuable. Metro's dividend in 2019, for instance, increased from 18¢ to 20¢. That's up 11%. Do you believe that MRU's price will rise by 11% also? It will. The proof, developed over decades, is inside. Another: BMO's dividend went from $3.78 to $4 in 2019: up ♠♠7.3%. As a result, BMO's price will rise too. Year after year wealth/capital builds, driven by the growing income.   * How can it be? How can a dividend increase affect the price of a stock? Especially if it's only a cent or two. It's unbelievably simple: an investment that produces more income becomes more valuable. Metro's dividend in 2019, for instance, increased from 18¢ to 20¢. That's up 11%. Do you believe that MRU's price will rise by 11% also? It will. The proof, developed over decades, is inside. Another: BMO's dividend went from $3.78 to $4 in 2019: up ♠♠7.3%. As a result, BMO's price will rise too. Year after year wealth/capital builds, driven by the growing income.
  
-January 2023- **Ask Your Adviser** - A Rob Carrick’s column in early January 2023 had the headline “Five things to talk with your investment adviser about after the sad returns of 2022”. I’ve been thinking about what Rob said. Rob is talking price returns. Most investors do. Over time, however, return on equities will track the sum of yield plus dividend growth. In the last decade, the CAGR (compound annual growth rate) of the 28 stocks I follow has been 8.79%. This is what really matters. ♦ My questions to ask your adviser, because of this, are quite different. First of all, I would not, and do not have an advisor. Advisors don’t have the answers. They are paid to peddle product and have no skin in your game. Most are not fiduciaries. An advisor should tell you that return has two parts: the investment return and the speculative return. The investment return, yield plus growth) is fairly stable, predictive, in fact. The speculative return fluctuates with human emotion. It is the speculative return that is falling. ♣  We could ask the adviser why they did not call in 2021 when the market was very high? Actually, I do not invest in the market. The market is a giant distraction for the business of investing. In the last major bear market, starting in 1964, the Dow was 874: in 1981;_— the Dow was 875. I do not buy index funds.+January 2023- **Ask Your Adviser** - A Rob Carrick’s column in early January 2023 had the headline “Five things to talk with your investment adviser about after the sad returns of 2022”. I’ve been thinking about what Rob said. Is a one year period enough to judge returns? Certainly not. Although total return was mentioned, Rob is mainly talking price returns. Most investors do. Over time, however, return on equities will track the sum of yield plus dividend growth. In the last decade, the CAGR (compound annual growth rate) of the 28 stocks I follow has been 8.79%. This is what really matters. ♦ My questions to ask your adviser, because of this, are quite different. First of all, I would not, and do not have an advisor. Advisors don’t have the answers. They are paid to peddle product and have no skin in your game. Most are not fiduciaries. An advisor should tell you that return has two parts: the investment return and the speculative return. The investment return, yield plus growth) is fairly stable, predictive, in fact. The speculative return fluctuates with human emotion. It is the speculative return that is falling. ♣  We could ask the adviser why they did not call in 2021 when the market was very high? Actually, I do not invest in the market. The market is a giant distraction for the business of investing. In the last major bear market, starting in 1964, the Dow was 874: in 1981;_— the Dow was 875. I do not buy index funds.
 ♦ Did the advisor inform you inflation was about to increase and suggest you cut back on bonds (fixed income) and move more into equity with its growing income. A growing income makes a company more valuable and drives up its price. Actually, returns from equities, over time, make stocks safer. Safer than bonds, in fact. ♦ My retirement __income__ doubles every decade, on average: This means my capital will double also. ♠ In my view, advisor’s biggest error is not apprehending yield growth. As a result, an advisor does not know how to protect a portfolio. They are infected by modern portfolio theory. It’s just a theory and it’s wrong. Return, for instance, is not really related to risk. Return is more in the price you pay. Return, is the long run, tracks the sum of your initial yield and dividend growth. Price gains are driven by this increasing cash flow. Never buy a stock without knowing its ten year record of year-over-year earnings and dividends. The Connolly Report 2022 summary of dividend growth, year-by-year, over the last decade is inside this site. And the summaries go back decades, each overlapping each other. This is the real way to measure your return, your portfolio’s progesss. ♦ Did the advisor inform you inflation was about to increase and suggest you cut back on bonds (fixed income) and move more into equity with its growing income. A growing income makes a company more valuable and drives up its price. Actually, returns from equities, over time, make stocks safer. Safer than bonds, in fact. ♦ My retirement __income__ doubles every decade, on average: This means my capital will double also. ♠ In my view, advisor’s biggest error is not apprehending yield growth. As a result, an advisor does not know how to protect a portfolio. They are infected by modern portfolio theory. It’s just a theory and it’s wrong. Return, for instance, is not really related to risk. Return is more in the price you pay. Return, is the long run, tracks the sum of your initial yield and dividend growth. Price gains are driven by this increasing cash flow. Never buy a stock without knowing its ten year record of year-over-year earnings and dividends. The Connolly Report 2022 summary of dividend growth, year-by-year, over the last decade is inside this site. And the summaries go back decades, each overlapping each other. This is the real way to measure your return, your portfolio’s progesss.
  
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 http://www.theglobeandmail.com/globe-investor/investment-ideas/retiree-prefers-blue-chip-dividend-stocks-over-bonds-and-gics/article24348328/ http://www.theglobeandmail.com/globe-investor/investment-ideas/retiree-prefers-blue-chip-dividend-stocks-over-bonds-and-gics/article24348328/
  
-Martin Mittelstaedt's June 15 2012 column in the Report on Business discussed the cost of a dollar's worth of dividends. "Behind rising dividend yields, a hidden warning for [the] economy"+  * 
- +
-http://www.theglobeandmail.com/globe-investor/investment-ideas/blue-chip-yields-flashing-red/article4264857/ +
  
 Most investors do not know, let alone believe, that as the dividend rises the price of the stock will also rise. Think. If a company is throwing off more cash each year (dividends), it's more valuable. Inside this site I prove this in many ways. Here is just one example from Burton Crane's 1959 book (The Sopisticated Investor, page 13) If an investor had put $10,000 into each of the various 101 NYSE stocks in 1913, by 1953 the dividend received would have been $10,140,258. What had the price of the stock grown to? $10,141,731. As the dividends grow, so does the price of the shares! Most investors do not know, let alone believe, that as the dividend rises the price of the stock will also rise. Think. If a company is throwing off more cash each year (dividends), it's more valuable. Inside this site I prove this in many ways. Here is just one example from Burton Crane's 1959 book (The Sopisticated Investor, page 13) If an investor had put $10,000 into each of the various 101 NYSE stocks in 1913, by 1953 the dividend received would have been $10,140,258. What had the price of the stock grown to? $10,141,731. As the dividends grow, so does the price of the shares!
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